Hong Kong Intelligence Report #85 王道的中國與霸道的俄國:俄國蓄意轟炸民用設施成了事實

Updated: Oct 11

Open-source intelligence (OSINT)

FILE PHOTO: STAND WITH UKRAINE rally © Envato

IMPORTANT 【重要】


A mummy-hunter gets lost and becomes a mummy.


假消息

俄軍只攻擊軍事設施,而不轟炸民用設施。這是不少世界各國人民當初認同的俄軍在入侵烏克蘭上一貫主張和秉持的獨特作風。


事實

2022年10月10日雙十節是個俄烏戰事的重大轉折點。即俄國刻意轟炸民用設施成了不可否認的事實。普京明確承認了俄軍今日瞄準和轟炸了烏克蘭各地的發電站(其他是軍事控制中心及通訊設施,至少共11個設施)。即使那有助於一時擾亂烏方軍民狀態和暫時讓烏軍前線癱瘓,俄軍轟炸發電站也是個典型的戰爭犯罪,也是個恐怖主義破壞行為。


自從9月10日的烏軍大反攻以來,為逆轉勝利而不擇手段的俄軍在10月10日的報復行動上徹底使俄國墮落和毀掉了其之前自誇的道德高度。這也就是事前國營媒體總編輯一再敦促的轟炸行動。俄羅斯的朋黨政治令人驚訝的地方是連國營媒體總編輯都可以透過與總統的朋友關係命令國防部狂炸敵方首都。誠然,這已經過了度。批判北約的自己成了北約。抓木乃伊的自己最終則淪為了木乃伊。


Fake News:

The Russian forces only attack military facilities and did not bomb civilian facilities. This is the unique style that many people around the world recognized and even supported after the Russian forces invaded Ukraine.


Facts:

October 10, 2022 became a major turning point in the Russia-Ukraine war. The fact that Russia deliberately bombed civilian facilities became an undeniable fact. Putin has explicitly admitted that Russian forces targeted and bombed power stations (and other military control centers and communications facilities, at least 11 in total) across Ukraine today. Even if it helped to temporarily disrupt the Ukrainian military and civilian situation and temporarily paralyze the Ukrainian front line, the bombing of power stations by Russian forces is a classic war crime and an act of terrorist sabotage.


Since the Ukrainian counter-offensive on September 10, the Russian army has been doing whatever it can to reverse the war situation for victory, and the retaliation on October 10 has completely degraded and destroyed Russia's previously boasted moral standing. This was the bombing campaign that the editor-in-chief of the state-run media had repeatedly urged beforehand. The amazing thing about Russia's crony politics is that even the editor-in-chief of the state media can order the Defense Ministry to bomb the enemy's capital through their friendly personal relations with the president. Admittedly, this has gone too far. The mummy-catcher him / herself eventually became a mummy.



RT:


普京證實,俄羅斯軍隊"用遠程精確武器對烏克蘭的能源設施目標以及軍事控制中心和通信設施進行了大規模打擊"。這一反應是在一次爆炸破壞了具有戰略意義的克里米亞大橋兩天後作出的,基輔官員聲稱對此負責。

Putin confirmed that Russian troops carried out “massive strikes with long-range precision weapons on Ukrainian objects of energy, and military control and communications.” The response came two days after an explosion damaged the strategic Crimean Bridge, for which officials in Kiev claimed responsibility.


LINK


這一點就不可逆轉地否定掉了「俄軍只攻擊軍事設施,而不轟炸民用設施」此一原則。從此之後,北約一樣無差別轟炸民用設施恐怕成為俄軍的常態。這狂亂軍事行動足以使中國在俄烏戰事上的立場更加尷尬和疏遠。還是進一步證實了中方堅持敦促止戰求和的中立主義方針是十分精確和英明的,因此,中國香港也必須遵從這個反戰/和平主義方針。


俄國必須清楚認識中國/香港市民的唯一政治立場絕不是什麼建制或反對派,而始終是中國/香港。


俄烏戰事與中國毫無關係,也絕不該有任何關係。因此,香港市民需要堅決反對任何勢力(‘友好’或敵對的)試圖將中國拖進國際爭端中的任何政治把戲。這就是不可迷失的目前矛盾的最主要面。


This irreversibly negates the principle that "Russian forces only attack military facilities and do not bomb civilian facilities". From then on, it is feared that NATO-style bombing of civilian facilities will become the norm for the Russian army. This chaotic military action is enough to make China's position on the Russia-Ukraine war even more awkward and distant. It is also a further confirmation that China's neutrality approach of urging a cessation of war and peace is very precise and wise, and therefore Hong Kong, China must follow this anti-war/peaceful approach as well.


Russia must clearly understand that the only political position of the Chinese/Hong Kong people is definitely neither the pro-establishment nor the opposition, but always Hong Kong, China. That's it.


The war between Russia and Ukraine has nothing to do with China and should never have anything to do with it. Therefore, the people of Hong Kong need to stand firm against any political maneuvering by any force ('friendly' or hostile) that tries to drag China into an international controversy. This is the main side of the current conflict that must not be lost.


NEWS 【事實關係】


烏克蘭國家緊急事務局當地時間周一(10日)表示,俄軍空襲共造成19人死亡,105人受傷。截至當地晚上9時,烏克蘭仍有1,307個住宅區處於斷電狀態。至周二(11日)早上,烏克蘭大部分地區再拉響防空警報,其中扎波羅熱等多地受襲,據報有人傷亡。

LINK


烏克蘭首都基輔市市長基輔市長克里琴科(Vitali Klitschko)周一(10日)早上在官方社交帳戶上發布消息稱,基輔市中心發生多次爆炸,疑遭俄羅斯發射的導彈襲擊,其中一枚更落在總統澤連斯基辦公室附近。據報事件造成至少8死24傷,烏克蘭國防部誓言報復俄羅斯的襲擊,武裝部隊總司令扎盧日內(Valery Zaluzhny)稱當日來襲的75枚導彈中,有41枚已被攔截擊落。


LINK


The Russian army launched rocket attacks on the center of Kyiv: there are dead This was reported by the mayor of the city Vitali Klitschko. According to him, the missile attack hit the Shevchenko district of the capital. The speaker of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine, Svetlana Vodolaga, said that among the civilians there were wounded and dead. Information is being added.


LINK


‼️ Eight people died as a result of a Russian missile attack on the center of Kyiv. This was announced by Advisor to the Minister of Internal Affairs of Ukraine Rostyslav Smirnov. It is also known that another 24 people were injured. Information is being added.


LINK


🤬In Kyiv, one of the rockets fell on the playground. Video is published by netizens. Recall that in the morning the Russian army shelled the capital of Ukraine. It is reported about arrivals in the center of Kyiv. Rescue services are on site.


LINK


❗️The Russians attacked the energy infrastructure facilities of the Lviv region. This was announced by the head of the Lviv OVA Maxim Kozitsky. He urged the residents of the region to stay in shelters, as there is a threat of new missile strikes.


LINK


‼️The Kremlin is deliberately hitting energy facilities and civilians of Ukraine, — Zelensky President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky recorded a video message from the center of Kyiv. According to Zelensky, Russia fired nearly 100 missiles into Ukraine in the morning alone.


LINK


😢4 people died as a result of a Russian missile attack on the Dnipropetrovsk region. This was announced by the head of the Dnepropetrovsk OVA Valentin Reznichenko. According to him, the Russian invaders fired more than 10 missiles in the region, 4 of which managed to destroy the air defense. The Russian army hit critical infrastructure, residential areas and public transport stops. As a result, 4 people were killed and 19 more were injured.


LINK


🔴Attention! Frames 18+. This is what the center of Kyiv looks like after the strike of the Russian occupiers. The video from the scene was published by an American journalist who was not far from the place where the Russian missiles hit.


LINK


万死に値するプーチン


Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned that any further Ukrainian “terrorist” assaults on Russian soil will be met with a significant military response. He was speaking after a wave of missiles struck Ukraine on Monday morning.

Putin confirmed that Russian troops carried out “massive strikes with long-range precision weapons on Ukrainian objects of energy, and military control and communications.” The response came two days after an explosion damaged the strategic Crimean Bridge, for which officials in Kiev claimed responsibility.


“If there are further attempts to conduct terrorist attacks on our soil, Russia will respond firmly, and, on a scale, corresponding to the threats created against Russia,” Putin added.


Earlier in the day, multiple regions of Ukraine came under missile strikes, with at least 11 key infrastructure facilities damaged, according to Ukrainian Prime Minister Denis Shmygal. Putin stated that Russia was retaliating for a number of attempts to strike Russian infrastructure that have been attributed to Kiev.


LINK


🇬🇧🇺🇦 The moment of arrival at the target in Dnepropetrovsk from the DVR camera. Judging by other footage, the rocket hit an industrial facility and destroyed several of the top floors of the building. UPD. The building of the Monitoring Center of Ukrtelecom on Kalinovaya, 89 was destroyed.


LINK


So Russia 🇷🇺 finally deliberately hit non-military facilities like power stations and communication centers in Ukraine 🇺🇦


🇬🇧🇺🇦💡 Attacks of the Russian Armed Forces on the energy system of Ukraine - analysis of Rybar. On the morning of October 10, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation began to deliver massive missile strikes throughout Ukraine. In addition to the headquarters and command posts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the Security Service of Ukraine and the National Guard, objects of the energy infrastructure of Ukraine were subjected to systemic strikes. Neither the nuclear power plant nor the hydroelectric power plant was struck by anyone - and this is not necessary in the current case either. On our map, we have displayed all significant substations and thermal power plants, as well as high-voltage lines 330kV on the territory of Ukraine. Some of the objects (as well as lines with 750kV substations) are deliberately omitted - otherwise the map would have turned out to be as overloaded as possible. We focused on 330kV - as a result of the blow, they were the first to suffer. 🔻To date, Rybar's team has managed to confirm the following strikes: ▪️Kyiv: Kyiv CHPP-3, Kyiv CHPP-5, Substation 110 Vokzalnaya, Darnytska CHPP — there are massive hits. But no strikes were recorded at the Brovary SS, Severnaya SS and Kyiv CHPP-6. Either they were not included in the list of objects for fire damage, or the Ukrainian air defense systems partially worked. ▪️Rivne: Substation Rivne 330 kV - a hit on the object caused an overload of 110 kV substations and a power outage in the city. ▪️Khmelnitsky: Substation Khmelnitskaya 330/110 kV - since there is no electricity in the whole city, only the 330 kV substation could be affected, which provoked shutdowns of the Rakovo, Stara, Thermoplast, Ozernaya, Dubovo substations and the Grechany traction substation. ▪️Ternopil: Substation Ternopil 330/110/35 kV - there is no electricity in the whole city, substation 110 kV Zagreblya, Ternopil supporting, Galician, Promyshlennaya, Plotycha, reinforced concrete products are powered from it. ▪️Sumy: Substation 330kV Konotop - the hit caused power outages in the entire region. ▪️Kharkiv: there is no electricity, water, communications in the whole city, the metro has stopped. This may mean the simultaneous decommissioning of the substation Zalyutino, Kharkovskaya, Losevo, as well as Kharkovskaya CHPP-5, Zmievskaya TPP, Chuguevskaya CHPP-2. But due to the lack of communications in the region, it is not yet possible to confirm the decommissioning of all facilities. ▪️Kryvyi Rih: Kryvyi Rih TPP, one of the largest in Ukraine. ▪️Zhytomyr: Substation Zhytomyr 330/110 kV ▪️Lviv: Lviv CHP-1 ▪️Ivano-Frankivsk: Burshtynska TPP ▪️Vinnytsia: train delays are recorded, which may be evidence of the failure of individual traction substations. But there is no information about this in open sources. 🔻The strikes caused shock among the Ukrainian population. The failure of certain key structures of the Ukrainian energy network caused an overload of the entire energy system of Ukraine: nuclear power plants could not cope with the load. Those who gave the order for a massive fire defeat should take into account that all the damage inflicted can still be restored. If the purpose of the blow was to cause a short-term shock - well, it worked. But if the goal is to overload the energy system of Ukraine for prolonged panic among the population, a drop in the morale of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and victory on the battlefield, then such actions must be repeated. ❗️It is necessary to break open switchgear 750kV at nuclear power plants, responding with symmetrical measures - as was the case with the Zaporozhye NPP. Particular attention should be paid to the Khmelnitsky nuclear power plant - there is a direct power line to Poland.


LINK


Rocket strikes inflicted today on Kyiv were directed against military installations and infrastructure in the energy sector. In particular, the attack was carried out on the main building of the SBU at Vladimirskaya, 33. Recall that the SBU is responsible for the terrorist attack on the Crimean bridge. Also, a blow was struck on the building of the administration of the President of Ukraine. This building is located on 10 Bankovskaya Street. In addition, Kyiv CHPP No. 5 and the building of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine on Mikhail Grushevsky Street, 5 were hit. Damage to CHPP-6 and Darnitskaya CHPP is reported. Damage to the pedestrian bridge, contrary to the statements of the Ukrainian side, is not the result of targeted shelling by the Russian Federation. The bridge was hit by a Ukrainian air defense missile, which did not work properly in the city. This can be seen if you carefully consider the video of the moment of impact. This is not the first time such errors in the operation of air defense have occurred.


LINK


Fake: Russian troops fired on civilian targets - one of the strikes hit Shevchenko Park in Kyiv next to a playground. This is reported by Ukrainian sources. Truth: A massive strike with high-precision weapons was inflicted exclusively on military targets and energy facilities. The attack on the park is the result of the malfunctioning of the Ukrainian air defense system, which actually caused damage to civilian facilities in Kyiv. A Ukrainian S-300 anti-air/anti-missile defense missile landed near the playground. We analyzed in detail what destruction the air defense brought to Ukrainian cities. The poor performance of the systems has already been criticized by journalists who suspected the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny of exaggerating the effectiveness of Ukrainian air defense systems.


LINK


COMMENT 【評語】


一言以蔽之,2022年10月10日雙十節的俄軍狂炸烏克蘭各地發電站一事證實了俄軍只攻擊軍事設施,而不轟炸民用設施」是個假信息。甚至,連普京自己都承認了這點。

In a nutshell, the Russian bombing of power stations across Ukraine on October 10, 2022 confirmed that "Russian forces only attack military facilities and do not bomb civilian facilities" is false. Even Putin himself admitted this.



 


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