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Hong Kong Intelligence Report #93 中港反清零浪潮是左右中共未來管治的反中亂港

Updated: Dec 9, 2022

Open-source intelligence (OSINT)

FILE PHOTO: A health worker making covid test © Envato

IMPORTANT 【重要】


反清零運動(與病毒共存)與愛國騷


香港目前真正主要的嚴峻政治問題是內外資本正在聯合推動的反華反共反清零運動,而非被本地資本同時用以做愛國騷的「國歌播錯」(當然非自然事件,意在將中央拖進毫無必要的中外衝突之中)或「黎智英聘用外籍律師」(目前國安法執行時也參考的2003年版23條立法草案以及港區國安法都並未禁止外籍律師參與)或「江澤民過世」(雖該11月30日消息蓋住了白紙運動文宣和媒體空間,但某種程度上也佔了當局的時間和資源安排,而明顯限制了取締力度)等容易轉移視線的諸事件。正如所料,本港白紙運動(違反《公安條例》第18條非法集結 LINK;違反限聚令第599G章《預防及控制疾病(禁止聚集)規例》LINK)早已在2022年11月27日至30日間短短3天熄滅,主要是因爲在中港同時推動白紙運動的內外資本的政治利益與率先斷送本地動態清零政策的港府之間毫無衝突矛盾,該運動並未針對港府,本來就欠缺推動力。就內地各地同時聯合爆發的白紙革命(反清零運動之一)而言,從2022年11月26日,經歷11月28日後的取締和衰退,到12月4日為止僅持續了9天,作為顏色革命早已被熄滅了。其實,該持續時間證明了白紙革命遠不如倒扁,太陽花運動,佔中或黑暴的衝擊力和組織力。這已反駁了海外內地白紙運動人士估計的12月6日中國前國家主席江澤民追悼大會後兩個禮拜內熄滅論。


Anti-zero COVID campaign (pro-with-COVID) and Patriotic Political Shows


The real and serious political issue in Hong Kong is the anti-China, anti-communist and anti-zero-COVID campaign being jointly promoted by domestic and foreign capital, not the "wrongly played national anthem" which is also used by local capital as a patriotic political show (It's not a natural event, of course, intended to drag the central government into unnecessary Sino-foreign conflicts) or "Jimmy Lai's hiring of a foreign lawyer" (the 2003 draft version of Article 23 , to which the current enforcement of the national security law also refers and the national security law itself both don't ban foreign lawyers) or "Jiang Zemin's death" (although the November 30 news washed out the A4 White Paper Movement's propaganda and dominated media space, it also took up some time and resources for the authorities, and obviously limited the efforts to suppress it), and other events that could easily divert attention. As expected, the A4 White Paper Movement in Hong Kong (illegal assembly in violation of section 18 of the Public Order Ordinance ; , Chapter 599G, Violation of Gathering Restrictions - Prevention and Control of Disease (Prohibition of Gathering) Regulation) has long been extinguished in just 3 days between November 27 and 30, 2022, mainly because the political interests of the capitalists in China and Hong Kong who promoting the entire anti-ZERO Campaign and the Hong Kong government who taking the lead in sending the local dynamic zero policy to death are same in the context. As for the A4 White Paper Revolution (one of the anti-zero campaigns) that broke out simultaneously in various parts of the mainland, it had lasted only nine days from November 26, 2022, through its proscription and decline after November 28, to December 4, and was extinguished as a color revolution long ago. In fact, the duration proves that the A4 White Revolution is far less impactful and organized than the Million Voices Against Corruption, President Chen Must Go, the Sunflower Movement, the Occupy Central or the Anti-Extradition Law Amendment Bill Movement. This refutes the theory that the White Paper Revolution will be extinguished within two weeks after the December 6 memorial service for recently deceased former Chinese President Jiang Zemin, as estimated by overseas White Paper activists. Both internal and external forces are now openly advocating with-COVID in Hong Kong and mainland China to fully open mainland market for capital. This is undoubtedly a war between China and imperialists.


NEWS 【事實關係】


12月4日,「河北共青團」發文稱,「前幾天,線上線下比較集中地出現了對一些地方疫情防控措施的意見,通過及時溝通、完善改進,事情本已平息。」LINK


據內地版United24(後台人員把各地網民發給的投稿內容匯總並專門透過海外特定‘第三人’‘與任何政治組織無關的’植物帳號發布。主流媒體同時大力配合扶植),推特帳號李老师不是你老师(@whyyoutouzhele LINK LINK ),12月4日到12月7日的特定幾個校園內的小爭執都已不構成全國性的抗爭運動了。換言之,已喪失了基本橫向聯繫(在地圖上,橫跨和聯繫全國各地的組織網絡被斷線而特定抗爭場所的校園成為了孤立的點),而局限於小小特定校園內的普通學生抗爭了。甚至,有網民在12月7日指摘該推特帳號早前發放的煽動叛亂的謠言,敘事(媒體和社交媒體人員以合乎自身政治經濟利益的立場來描述和曲解社會事件或政府公報來煽動叛亂,引導輿論到資本所需的方向和結論)。以下事實證明了所謂白紙的本質是什麼。原來是基於謠言而已。當然,此時當局最需要溝通解除衝突,那樣就足夠了。


李老師,安徽大學這個辟謠一下吧。沒有強制離校。只是昨晚發現了一例陽性。很多學生害怕形式多變無法離校才著急走的。學校並沒有強制離校。依然可以留在學校裡準備四六級考研。校門口聚集的人很多只是因為晚上突然有了陽性,很多人想走而已。LINK


如俄烏戰事,中港反清零(含所謂白紙革命)也是個照射本港政治本色的照妖鏡。當然,愛國騷不算照妖鏡,而是確保當權者政治安全的公關廣告而已。最令人擔憂的是,本港政府疫情專家們基本上在美國政府的手裡。直屬於美國總統,而統籌16個情報組織的國家情報總監(Director of National Intelligence)艾薇兒·海恩斯(Avril Danica Haines)透露了白紙運動的目的。2022年12月4日報道:


美國國家情報總監海恩斯表示,國家主席習近平不願意接受西方新冠疫苗。海恩斯在一個國防論壇上表示,儘管新冠病毒帶來社會和經濟影響,但習近平仍然不願意接受西方較好的疫苗,仍然依賴中國疫苗,但中國疫苗在應對Omicron變種病毒的效用可能未必顯著。她又指,日前中國出現的反防疫示威,目前不會威脅中國的穩定和中共的管治,但未來如何發展,將會對習近平的地位非常重要。LINK


簡言之,所有美國情報機構為資本服務。白紙運動和整個中港反清零運動的目的是為了西方疫苗公司完全打開內地市場而逼迫中央政府改採與病毒共存。極大化其利潤(剩餘價值/資本自身的增殖)乃真目的。是的,帝國主義是以谷針為一切的與病毒共存的本質。不過,這次不是「鴉片」戰爭,而是「病毒」戰爭,也就是「疫苗」戰爭。

中港國安單位何時從資本的矇騙中醒悟過來正視此危機?他們已經在打國運之戰喔!中國輸掉也可以嗎?一旦中國被拖進與病毒共存之中,就會再也無法逃脫病毒和資本自由地肆虐老弱病人,外部疫苗公司未來長年贏盡暴利的泥沼之中。如此恐會自願清零掉清零政策的中國中央政府偉大人道成就。何必呢?