Hong Kong Intelligence Report #95 美國的勝利：中國被迫打開了將衝擊全球的與病毒共存的地獄門
Updated: May 4
Open-source intelligence (OSINT)
IMPORTANT 【重要】
澳門改採了與病毒共存（如今俗稱‘復常’）。2022年12月22日澳門撤掉了入境隔離措施（澳門零時起放寬入境檢疫要求 取消落地核酸檢測及賦紅碼安排 LINK），以稍微優於香港的方式，但確實放寬了關鍵性的防疫措施，因此確定澳門放棄動態清零政策而加入了與病毒共存的行列。萬一內地也即將跟隨澳門撤除外防輸入的重要環節（如落地首日核酸檢測和隔離期），那就會確定全中國在疫情嚴峻下最終加入了與病毒共存的不歸路。甚至，全球疫情還會持續。
然而，市民冀望的是在疫情控制或消退下，才逐步放開，而非在疫情仍為嚴峻，社會準備不足，也是疫情尚未消退或結束下，逐步放開或貿然加速全面放開。
疫情越嚴峻越放寬，疫情越糟糕，越要即時免檢疫通關的反知性勢力叫做病毒，也叫做資本。內外資本毫無顧慮公共衛生。內外資本勢力先從香港逐步蠶食了內地的防疫措施，即叫港府率先改採與病毒共存了。足認香港仍然是個只換國旗的港英殖民地。
防止感染，做好檢測，隔離，有效治療才是防疫的基本概念。只要放棄防止感染，躺平，那就意味著整個防疫政策的瓦解。中國走上與病毒共存正是資本以及美國的勝利。中國從全球抗疫勝利者的政治高度，自行退回到了武漢爆發疫情初期（2020年）的政治困境。我們清楚中國的動態清零政策長期成功防止了疫情的最兇猛的全球擴大。拆掉它的全球疫情後果不堪設想。
最不幸的是，國安法和國安單位都未能阻止內外資本聯合瓦解動態清零國策的政治攻堅戰。這個原因要檢討。
香港政治的結構
如下：
真正的政治是當國策/公共利益與資本利益相牴觸的地方，而非愛國騷上面。所謂真正政治的最佳例子是反修例風波和反清零運動。
通常，市民被資本利用媒體上演的愛國騷牽著鼻子走的。但是，真正的政治發生在國策或公共利益與資本利益相衝突的地方。始終要看的是這點。
最近的愛國騷的例子是，橄欖球賽國歌播錯/標錯，黎智英聘用英國大律師，Google香港國歌置頂，一直到香港製造標籤（香港製造｜陳茂波：港經濟服務業為主 美禁標示實際影響不大 LINK）云云。然而，最近幾個月同時進行的真正政治過程是逐步逼迫內地和澳門放棄動態清零的政治攻勢。
Macau has changed to WITH-COVID (now commonly known as 'reversion'). 23 December 2022 Macau removes entry quarantine measures in a slightly better way than Hong Kong, but does relax key quarantine measures, thus confirming that Macau has abandoned its dynamic zero policy and joined the ranks of those who co-exist with the virus. In the likely upcoming event that the Mainland follows Macau's lead and removes key aspects of anti-external importation measures (such as first-day-of-arrival nucleic acid testing and quarantine periods), it will be confirmed that all of China has finally joined the path of no return in the face of the severity of the epidemic. Even more, the global epidemic will continue and worsen.
However, what the public wants is a gradual release when the epidemic is under control or receding, not a gradual or acceleration of a full relaxation when the epidemic is still severe and the community is not prepared and the epidemic is not yet receding or over.
The more severe the epidemic is, the more the prevention method is relaxed, and the worse the epidemic is, the more the anti-intellectual forces that must be immediately exempted from quarantine and customs clearance are called viruses, also called capital. Capital, both internal and external, has no regard for public health. The capitalist forces, both internal and external, have gradually eroded the epidemic prevention measures in the Mainland from Hong Kong, i.e. the Hong Kong government has taken the lead in co-existing with the virus. It is clear that Hong Kong is still a British Hong Kong colony that only changes its flag.
The basic concept of epidemic prevention is to prevent infection, detect, isolate, and treat effectively. As long as we give up the prevention of infection and lie flat, it means that the whole epidemic prevention policy is collapsing. China's journey to co-exist with the virus is a victory for capital and for the United States. From the political height of a global winner in the fight against the epidemic, China has regressed itself to the political dilemma of the early days of the outbreak in Wuhan (2020). We know for sure that China's dynamic zero policy succeeded in preventing the most violent global expansion of the epidemic in the long term. The consequences of dismantling it for the global epidemic are unimaginable.