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Hong Kong Intelligence Report #23 HK Oligopoly : Luo Huining and Deep-seated Contradictions

Updated: Oct 16, 2021

#HongKong #Intelligence #Report #香港情報分析 #OSINT

Hong Kong Intelligence Report #23 HK Oligopoly : Luo Huining and Deep-seated Contradictions

PHOTO FILE: 什麼是香港的深層次矛盾? What is Hong Kong's deep-seated contradiction? ©Ryota Nakanishi
PHOTO FILE: 什麼是香港的深層次矛盾? What is Hong Kong's deep-seated contradiction? ©Ryota Nakanishi


Hong Kong's intelligence agency is The Security Bureau but their intelligence ops did not work during the Hong Kong colour riots 2019. Hong Kong is full of disinformation ops, false flags, fake news, dogmas, discriminations, hate speeches, state propaganda and condemnations among different political camps but they lack deep analysis on their own political and economic issues. News reports are totally wasted. OSINT is more effective than exposing any secret documents traditionally due to internet.


The concept of deep-seated contradictions (three aspects; five points in total)

The term is one of important jargons of so called Socialism with Chinese Characteristics (1978-; SCC). It is actually based on dialectic materialism, thus it can be seen as a cell of its ideological system. There are five deep-seated contradictions in Hong Kong, covering three major areas of Hong Kong which are economy, politics and people's livelihood.

Wen Jiabao (1942-) said on March 14, 2010,

First, how to make use of the existing advantages and continue to maintain and develop Hong Kong's status as a financial center, shipping center and trade center;

Second, how to combine the characteristics of Hong Kong to develop advantageous industries, especially the service industry;

Third, it is necessary to take advantage of Hong Kong's proximity to strengthen its connection with the Pearl River Delta. The vast market in the Mainland and the rapid development of the Mainland economy are the potential for Hong Kong's future development;

Fourth, Hong Kong people must be tolerant of mutual aid, unite consensus, and be united to maintain Hong Kong's prosperity and stability. He said that Hong Kong will not only have great economic development in the future, but also develop democratic politics step by step in accordance with the provisions of the Basic Law;

Fifth, Wen Jiabao mentioned in particular: "There are two points that should not be ignored. One is to improve people's livelihood, and the other is to develop education."


It is only a matter of superstructures?

From the perspective of 2020, what Wen Jiabao suggested at the time was that Hong Kong should take existing advantages for its own industrial transformation, local economic absorption of economic development from economic and trade integration with the Mainland's Greater Bay Area, end of Hong Kong's internal political contradictions that damage the country and local interests, it also needs livelihood improvements, political reforms and education reforms.

As mentioned above, the concept of deep-seated contradictions covers both superstructures and economic foundations. However, Wen Jiabao did not mention who caused the deep-seated contradictions. Deep-seated contradictions are not only contradictions among the people, but also the most serious hostile contradictions in China.

The concept of deep-seated contradictions itself covers the superstructure and economic foundation,

therefore, the method of solving deep-seated contradictions essentially covers superstructure and economic foundation. There will be no proper way to solve only the problems of the political system, nor will there be a proper way to solve only the problems of the economic system.

Hong Kong's vested interests simply want to distort it into narratives and means to seize full governance. All they need to do is to achieve substantial Hong Kong independence with a dual universal suffrage.

From British colony under one country, two systems to Hong Kong, China under one country, two systems

Changing the electoral system is secondary and will not improve anything at all. What Hong Kong really needs is comprehensive decolonization and elimination of monopoly-capital. The deep-seated contradictions cannot be removed otherwise. At the same time, it is also necessary to promote industrial transformation with Chinese capital and restructure Hong Kong's ruling class. Finally, it will be changed from the British colony of Hong Kong under one country, two systems to Hong Kong, China under one country, two systems.

Who needs to prevent China from resolving the deep-seated contradictions of Hong Kong?

What impedes the transformation of the industry is the ruling class of Hong Kong as embodied by real estate hegemony. The ruling class Hong Kong society represented by real estate hegemony is monopoly capital dictatorship. What impedes the central government's effective governance of Hong Kong is the dictatorial Hong Kong ruling class represented by real estate hegemony, and what impedes the solution of people's livelihood issues (causing and maintaining the gap between rich and poor) is the dictatorial Hong Kong social ruling class represented by real estate hegemony. What obstructs patriotic education (love for colonialism) is the social dictatorship of the real estate developers.

The cooperation among compradors, external forces, real estate hegemony, and Hong Kong's colonial remnants is China's national security issue. The underworld of drug trafficking and violence organizations also belong to anti-China / anti-communist organisations. Anti-China chaos is powerful economic and social hegemonic investment and management project, which cannot be separated from the ruling class's planning, political and economic conspiracy for continuous profits. It is by no means a class cause that is in the interests of the grassroots proletariats.

An article published by Xinhua News Agency on September 4, 2019, entitled "Some Deep Roots behind the Storm in Hong Kong", one of the political representatives of the vested interests of the ruling class in Hong Kong and the founder of Democratic Alliance for the Betterment and Progress of Hong Kong, for the betterment of the black shirted opposition, Jasper Tsang Yok-sing, said This probably represents the views of the central government. Except for Hong Kong 01, the opposition media generally believe that the so-called deep-seated contradiction is the lack of political reform, that is the lack of so-called universal suffrage / dual universal suffrage. The representative of pro-Beijing camp in this view is Carrie Lam's election adviser and Aron Hari Harilela, chairman of the Hong Kong General Chamber of Commerce. They believe that deep-seated contradictions are a matter of superstructure.

The article titled "Resolving Deep-seated Contradictions, Only Less Determined" published by the founder, Jasper Tsang Yok-sing, on January 6, 2020, is just a variant of oppositional argument, that is, he vaguely agrees that the deep-seated contradictions are belong to the economic and people's livelihood level, but the solution is political reform, the so-called true universal suffrage / dual universal suffrage. He particularly emphasized that Hong Kong does not have a ruling and opposition party system to form rotation system of government, and it has rigidified the long-term trend of the SAR government to serve vested interests exclusively. He attributed the problem to the superstructure, the method by which the government was created, not the oligopoly itself. This argument is clearly the demand and proposition of serving the vested interests represented by the seven-month black shirted rioters. We have seen these two kinds of claims that from the British Hong Kong remnants and vested interests in real estate hegemony.

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Indeed, there is a problem with the superstructure. The administration and the judiciary are permeated by the evils of Britain Hong Kong remnants, and they are insane. The founder of the DAB, Jasper Tsang Yok-sing, is also a typical figure of the rightists of treacherous 'pro-Beijing' camp. Its nature and proposition are no different from those of the oppositions. The reform of the electoral system itself is not the same as the improvement of people's livelihood. For instance, after Taiwan first held the direct presidential election on March 23, 1996, from Li Tenghui, Chen Shuibian, Ma Yingjiu to Tsai Yingwen, they are the promoters of neoliberalism who sacrificed grassroots.

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Despotism / Hegemony in Hong Kong

On the economic basis of monopoly capital, the consequences of changing the electoral system in Hong Kong will only be the dictatorship of monopoly capital.

It is more than the status quo that monopoly capital will completely control Hong Kong's governance and become the actual state of Hong Kong independence. Compradors of Hong Kong will have the opportunity to take Hong Kong from China. Do not forget that Hong Kong is still politically and economically in the world and mentality before Chinese liberation in 1949. Colonial morbidity permeates education and the media in particular. It is true that the problems of the electoral system itself are secondary and are not a priority issue except for oligopoly and compradors who want to seize full governance by creating political chaos.

In material terms, it is not the electoral system that troubles the working class in Hong Kong, but the gap between the rich and the poor caused by monopoly capital and the continuing deterioration of stalemate. However, the superstructure that accommodates and serves the monopoly capital is also part of the gap between the rich and the poor. The policy of high property prices, undeveloped brownfield sites, and the policy of tomorrow's Lantau for real estate hegemony only serves ruling class.

In addition to the insufficient land supply, the speed of building public houses is far behind. It will take years to build a public house after taking years for the land supply. It is unreasonable. It is impossible to respond to the unbalanced demands and declining purchasing power. The idea that Hong Kong merges with the mainland to increase lands is not mysterious, and the integration with the Greater Bay Area will bring about Hong Kong's land reliefs. However, none of them will involve the internal cause of solving the Hong Kong monopoly capital. Relief is not about cutting off the grass and roots.

Hong Kong's largest and most powerful anti-communist / anti-Chinese social forces are not individual opposition members, but only the monopoly capital of rich and hostile figurers.

The Xinhua News Agency wrote in its article "Some Deep Roots behind the Storm of Hong Kong Amendments":

"Behind the storm of ambiguous law amendment, there are some deep-seated social contradictions and problems in Hong Kong. These economic and livelihood contradictions have complex causes and have not been resolved for a long time. Become a huge social problem. "

In the eyes of many young people, the future lacks bright colors, saying that young people represent the future, but in the eyes of many Hong Kong young people, the future lacks bright colors.

The driver, who is 35 years old, loves motorcycles and runs high-power motorcycles in the countryside every weekend.

At this time, he is full of arrogance, but when it comes to the future, the mood swings. "In the future, will we have a future?" Without a house, crowded with his family, his girlfriend who had talked for many years could not get married, and the idea of ​​having children was long gone. Renting? The monthly rent of a 30-square-meter house is priced at HK $ 8,000 or 9,000, but Xiao-Kwong's monthly salary is only about 15,000 Hong Kong dollars. How can he rent it? As for buying a house with a down payment, don't even think about it. The speed at which you save money is definitely not faster than the rate of increase in house prices.

Comparing the increase in house prices and the increase in income in Hong Kong, it can be seen clearly: At present, the prices of different regions and housing types in Hong Kong vary, but most of them are more than 200,000 Hong Kong dollars per square meter. What about monthly income? A citizen told reporters: "Twenty years ago, university graduates took 10,000 Hong Kong dollars. In the past 20 years, they have risen to 12,000 and 13,000. How much have prices risen in the past 20 years? Counting inflation, universities Graduates are actually devalued. "

According to the data of the International Labour Organization in 2018, from 2008 to 2017, the real wage growth rate in the Mainland reached 8.2%, Macau 1.6%, and South Korea 1.2%. Taiwan ’s real wage growth was only 0.2%. Hong Kong even lags behind Taiwan, only 0.1%. From 2004 to 2018, Hong Kong house prices rose 4.4 times.

It is the rising housing prices and the stagnation of salary income that have led to a decline in the proportion of Hong Kong's owned homes. From 2003 to the present, the rate of home ownership in Hong Kong has fallen from 53% to 48.9%. Behind this data is that wealth is more concentrated, and many young people's own housing dreams are shattered.

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The deep contradictions of politics, economy, and people ’s livelihood are trinity and not limited to only one of them.

The above clearly summarizes the hotbeds of riots that at which external forces and the opposition can exploit at any time. The deep-rooted contradictions in the field of people's livelihood are rising house prices and actually reducing salary incomes. This inevitably involves labor issues.

Insufficient labor rights in Hong Kong have contributed to low wages, low social benefits, high housing prices, and rising prices. At the same time, this is not only a monopoly capital issue of cross-industrial cartels in the economic field, but also a government, judicial and media issue that serves and shelters monopoly capital. The deep contradictions of politics, economy, and people's livelihood are all trinity. It is not limited to just one of these areas.

The commentator of the so-called ''pro-Beijing'' media in Hong Kong, such as Ta Kung Pao = Wen Wei Po, followed the above point. In fact, the riot is not for the purchase of a property, and the presence or absence of owned property is not a riot demand. Indeed, the riot demand itself is not a class claim of the working class, but it is for the seizure of political structure that the ruling class, who already have several mansions and loves flipping really want. The color revolution is for their economic hegemony, external forces politically use its internal contradictions in Hong Kong, anti-China / anti-communist ruling class mentality and their long-term strategy against China. The main axis of the problem lies in the internal cause, the internal deep-seated contradictions, that is, the vested interests that caused the deep-seated contradictions and the contradictions between China and Hong Kong. One-sided anti-imperialist narrative that only looks at external forces here is extremely stupid, and it instead shields internal forces behind the riots.

Wen Taomiao, a current affairs commentator of Ta Kung Pao, wrote an article which entitled "Where is the deep-seated contradictions in Hong Kong?" On October 25, 2019, ”Issued a consensus with Xinhua News Agency:

Increasing class contradictions and lower and lower class mobility are the essential contradictions in Hong Kong. "Has or does not have a house" is just one factor that has intensified the contradictions. In order to avoid hostility, some vested interests need to use the portrayal of the opposition, some media, and even the so-called "scholars" to divert people's attention to deceive the citizens who do not know the truth about the source of the problem. If this is not the case, why should associate professor Shen, who is in the upper class, jump out again and again and reiterate that the deep-seated contradictions in Hong Kong do not lie in the existence of an owned house?


Blind spots: Anti-imperialism and anti-real estate hegemony critics avoid criticism of capitalism itself

In class society, class contradictions are of course hostile contradictions. Wen Taomiao's argument also avoids corrupt bureaucrats who directly protect monopoly capital and serve monopoly capital. The problem of class mobility, that is, the rigidity of the gap between the rich and the poor, is a political and economic problem. That is also the result not a cause at all. The origin of evil is the monopoly capital of Hong Kong, capitalism itself, and its abnormal phenomena. Both the anti-imperialist and anti-real estate hegemony critics evade criticism of capitalism itself, and only criticize the special phenomenon of capitalism, that is, the cross-industrial monopoly capital of real estate hegemony. Even this is difficult to do at present.

How did the pro establishment and opposition media react to Luo Huining's appointment as the dire