Updated: Aug 1
Open-source intelligence (OSINT)
Article 22 A person who organises, plans, commits or participates in any of the following acts by force or threat of force or other unlawful means with a view to subverting the State power shall be guilty of an offence:
(1) overthrowing or undermining the basic system of the People’s Republic of China established by the Constitution of the People’s Republic of China;
(2) overthrowing the body of central power of the People’s Republic of China or the body of power of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region;
(3) seriously interfering in, disrupting, or undermining the performance of duties and functions in accordance with the law by the body of central power of the People’s Republic of China or the body of power of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region; or
(4) attacking or damaging the premises and facilities used by the body of power of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region to perform its duties and functions, rendering it incapable of performing its normal duties and functions.
A person who is a principal offender or a person who commits an offence of a grave nature shall be sentenced to life imprisonment or fixed-term imprisonment of not less than ten years; a person who actively participates in the offence shall be sentenced to fixed-term imprisonment of not less than three years but not more than ten years; and other participants shall be sentenced to fixed-term imprisonment of not more than three years, short-term detention or restriction. (1)
Arresting 55 opposition lawmakers and activists on January 6-7, 2021 for violation of article 22 of HKNSL was to pave a way for ''automated'' land-slide electoral victories of ''pro-establishment'' camp in the upcoming 2021 Hong Kong Legislative Council election (September 5, 2021).
However the main issue still is that undemocratically terminating undesirable opposition figures and their entire camp has nothing to do with solving any actual social problems of Hong Kong at all. This is the most important thing among all of these HKNSL-related arrests of opposition stars since DQ4 on November 11, 2020 until present.
A political victory of one side on the other is not equal with a victory of its people.
Indeed, the mass purge of opposition from the establishment without any solution to actual social problems of Hong Kong caused the most dangerous situation for people of HKSAR because there is no obstacle for kleptocratic bureaucrats and pragmatic ruling class to approve any desirable legislative bills and put it into effect without any popular support and opposition against them.
It's the worst outcome for citizens of Hong Kong politically, culturally and economically.
In other words, mismanagement of HKNSL will prepare the future political turmoil - not a colour revolution - which is enough to nullify the remnant of democracy of Hong Kong, moreover it will further alienate its people from the establishment and central government. The ultimate end would be self-destruction of the establishment itself. What people really need is neither red, blue nor yellow political victories but it is only solution to their grave social problems. Therefore, current mismanagement of HKNSL is not only pointless and also suicidal for CCP (a.k.a. CPC).
In this case, cultivating Bauhinia Party (March 1, 2020-) as a partner of ''pro-establishment' camp (not alternative to the ''pro-establishment'' camp) is also totally meaningless and even groundless due to its fatal lack of grassroots base and popular support from its people. At such moments, they killed entire opposition figures socially, denied social access of democratically elected legislators (e.g. some of their bank accounts got blocked permanently by ''pro-establishment'' banks) and put more puppets in front of voters as ''politically correct'' candidates. On the contrary, it won't help the regime to gain hearts and trust of its people.
CPC only allowing voters' ''legitimate'' choice between the traditional ''pro-establishment'' camp and ultra ''pro-establishment'' camp -which symbolised by Bauhinia Party - is an undeniable violation of democracy of the people of Hong Kong. Bureaucratically created Stalinist pseudo-democracy is only an illusion. On this, positiveness of HKNSL turned into the opposite, self-destruction of CPC's own popular base in HK.
Who really wants this distorted course of HKNSL? Undoubtedly real anti-Communist camp wanted this. The political turmoil and emptiness of pseudo-democracy will only ultimately serve the vested interests of monopoly/ oligopoly capitalists of Hong Kong not CPC itself. CPC is perfectly misguided on this.
In general, the series of mass purge of political opponents by undemocratic measures is totally blind and pointless as long as it's done without solving any single social problem of Hong Kong citizens. What 'pro-establishment' camp did for the people of HK actually? None. Nothing. Only PR stunts. That's all. Killing all opposition figures won't automatically solve any single social problem of HKSAR. Mismanagement of HKNSL also caused snitching culture since the setup of HKNSL hotlines on November 5, 2020. HK is now in the most dangerous conditions unexpectedly.
Mingpao published the post-HKNSL era chronicle on December 30, 2020:
In this way, eliminating entire opposition camp of Hong Kong is a sheer political move and intention to make ''pro-establishment'' camp hopefully win the 2021 Hong Kong Legislative Council election however there will be no such Automation of its optimistic effects on majority of Hong Kong voters as long as opposition camp (a.k.a.